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Cotton Futures Extend Rally on Friday

Cotton field with mature bolls under blue sky, representing the cotton futures rally

Cotton futures closed higher on Friday, May 2, 2026, extending the week’s gains. Contracts rose 89 to 199 points, with July cotton up 483 points for the week and December up 398 points.

The US dollar index gained $0.146 to $98.065. Crude oil fell $2.57 to $102.50 per barrel.

Also read: Corn Futures End Week Higher on Export Data

Managed Money Boosts Net Long Position

Managed money added 3,891 contracts to their net long position in cotton futures and options in the week ending April 28. That brought the total to 38,355 contracts, according to Barchart data.

This suggests speculative interest in cotton remains strong. Industry watchers note that the rally has been supported by a combination of dollar weakness and supply concerns.

Also read: Lean Hog Futures Fall on Pseudorabies Case

Export Sales Data Lags USDA Projection

Export commitments stand at 10.691 million running bales. That is 2% below last year’s total for this time. It also represents 95% of the USDA export projection, lagging the 102% five-year average sales pace.

The implication is that demand may be softening slightly compared to historical patterns. But the market is still absorbing supply at a steady rate.

Cash Market and Certified Stocks

The Seam reported 5,415 bales sold on April 30 at an average price of 73.63 cents per pound. The Cotlook A Index fell 50 points on April 30 to 89.05 cents.

ICE certified cotton stocks increased by 1,585 bales on Thursday, reaching 167,266 bales. The Adjusted World Price rose 40 points on Thursday afternoon to 65.66 cents per pound.

Price Levels

Here are the closing prices for key cotton contracts on Friday:

Contract Close (cents/lb) Change
May 2026 81.85 +199 points
July 2026 84.19 +199 points
December 2026 84.56 +169 points

Data from Barchart shows the rally has been broad-based across the curve.

What This Means for Farmers and Traders

The sustained rally offers some relief for growers after a period of price volatility. But the lagging export pace compared to the five-year average could cap further upside.

For traders, the managed money positioning suggests continued bullish sentiment. However, the market remains sensitive to changes in the dollar and crude oil prices.

USDA data on export sales and crop progress will be closely watched in the coming weeks for further direction.

Benjamin

Written by

Benjamin

Benjamin Carter is the founder and editor-in-chief of StockPil, where he covers market trends, investment strategies, and economic developments that matter to everyday investors. With over 12 years of experience in financial journalism and equity research, Benjamin has written for several leading financial publications and has been cited by Bloomberg, Reuters, and The Wall Street Journal. He holds a degree in Economics from the University of Michigan and is a CFA Level III candidate.

This article was produced with AI assistance and reviewed by our editorial team for accuracy and quality.

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